Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000939 0.001077 0.001216 0.001365 0.001520 0.001677 0.001846
2026-02-01 0.000709 0.000905 0.001110 0.001336 0.001577 0.001824 0.002097
2026-02-08 0.000549 0.000787 0.001044 0.001336 0.001653 0.001984 0.002353
2026-02-15 0.000427 0.000696 0.000998 0.001348 0.001735 0.002145 0.002605
2026-02-22 0.000334 0.000628 0.000968 0.001372 0.001825 0.002310 0.002859
2026-03-01 0.000239 0.000543 0.000912 0.001361 0.001872 0.002424 0.003054
2026-03-08 0.000152 0.000454 0.000842 0.001327 0.001889 0.002502 0.003206
2026-03-15 0.000100 0.000402 0.000813 0.001338 0.001953 0.002628 0.003409
2026-03-22 0.000054 0.000345 0.000771 0.001329 0.001991 0.002724 0.003575
2026-03-29 0.000028 0.000312 0.000758 0.001352 0.002064 0.002857 0.003781
2026-04-05 0.000005 0.000266 0.000721 0.001345 0.002100 0.002945 0.003935
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000213 0.000670 0.001315 0.002107 0.003000 0.004050
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000136 0.000583 0.001251 0.002090 0.003046 0.004179
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000086 0.000527 0.001225 0.002118 0.003145 0.004369
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000054 0.000494 0.001227 0.002179 0.003282 0.004602
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000031 0.000470 0.001240 0.002252 0.003433 0.004851
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000016 0.000456 0.001264 0.002339 0.003598 0.005115
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000002 0.000419 0.001254 0.002381 0.003710 0.005317
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000371 0.001221 0.002393 0.003786 0.005475
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000352 0.001232 0.002458 0.003922 0.005703
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000322 0.001223 0.002497 0.004027 0.005893
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000313 0.001246 0.002576 0.004177 0.006134
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.000287 0.001239 0.002614 0.004279 0.006319